The transition from the London InterBank Offered Rate (LIBOR) to alternative reference rates is driven by several key reasons. These reasons stem from the inherent weaknesses and vulnerabilities of LIBOR, as well as the need to enhance the integrity, reliability, and stability of the global financial system. The following factors have played a significant role in motivating the transition:
1. Lack of underlying transactions: One of the primary concerns with LIBOR is that it relies on a panel of banks submitting their estimated borrowing costs for various currencies and tenors. However, in recent years, the number of actual transactions underlying these submissions has significantly declined. This lack of underlying transactions raises questions about the representativeness and accuracy of LIBOR as a
benchmark.
2. Vulnerability to manipulation: LIBOR's susceptibility to manipulation was exposed during the 2008
financial crisis when it was revealed that some banks had been submitting false rates to benefit their trading positions. This scandal eroded trust in LIBOR and highlighted the need for a more robust and transparent benchmark.
3. Limited term structure: LIBOR provides rates for various tenors, such as overnight, one-month, three-month, etc. However, it does not extend beyond one year. This limitation poses challenges for financial products and contracts that require longer-term reference rates. Alternative reference rates aim to address this issue by providing rates across a broader range of tenors.
4. Declining interbank lending activity: The interbank lending market, which LIBOR was originally designed to reflect, has significantly diminished over the years. Banks have become less reliant on interbank borrowing due to regulatory changes and increased
liquidity provided by central banks. As a result, LIBOR's relevance as a measure of interbank lending
risk has diminished.
5. Global harmonization: LIBOR is primarily used in the United Kingdom, but it also serves as a reference rate in various other jurisdictions. The lack of consistency across different currencies and jurisdictions creates complexities and risks for global financial markets. The transition to alternative reference rates seeks to establish more harmonized and consistent benchmarks across different regions.
6. Regulatory recommendations: Regulatory bodies, such as the Financial Stability Board (FSB) and the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO), have recommended the development and adoption of alternative reference rates. These recommendations aim to enhance the robustness, reliability, and integrity of benchmark rates, reducing the potential for manipulation and improving market confidence.
7. Market-based rates: Alternative reference rates, such as the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) in the United States or the Sterling Overnight Index Average (SONIA) in the UK, are based on actual market transactions rather than estimations. This shift towards market-based rates increases
transparency, reduces the potential for manipulation, and provides a more accurate reflection of borrowing costs.
8. Future sustainability: LIBOR's long-term sustainability has been questioned due to the challenges it faces. Regulators and industry participants recognize the need for a benchmark that can withstand evolving market dynamics and remain relevant over time. The transition to alternative reference rates aims to establish benchmarks that are more resilient, adaptable, and sustainable in the face of future uncertainties.
In conclusion, the transition from LIBOR to alternative reference rates is driven by concerns over its representativeness, vulnerability to manipulation, limited term structure, declining interbank lending activity, lack of global harmonization, regulatory recommendations, and the need for more sustainable benchmarks. The adoption of alternative reference rates seeks to address these issues by providing more robust, transparent, and reliable benchmarks that better reflect market realities and enhance the stability of the global financial system.