Potential reasons for significant changes observed during horizontal analysis can be attributed to various factors that impact a company's financial statements over time. Horizontal analysis, also known as trend analysis, involves comparing financial data from multiple periods to identify patterns, trends, and changes. These changes can arise due to several reasons, including:
1.
Business Cycle: Economic conditions and the business cycle can significantly influence a company's financial performance. During an economic downturn, businesses may experience lower sales, reduced profitability, and increased expenses. Conversely, during an economic upswing, companies may witness growth in sales, improved profitability, and reduced expenses. These fluctuations in the business cycle can lead to significant changes in financial statements.
2. Industry Factors: Changes in the industry landscape can impact a company's financials. For example, technological advancements, shifts in consumer preferences, or regulatory changes can affect sales volumes, pricing strategies, and production costs. Companies operating in dynamic industries may experience significant changes in their financial statements as they adapt to these external factors.
3. Internal Factors: Changes within a company's operations, management decisions, or strategic initiatives can result in significant variations in financial performance. For instance, a company may undergo restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, or changes in leadership, which can impact revenue streams, cost structures, and overall profitability. Additionally, changes in accounting policies or estimates can also lead to variations in financial statements.
4.
Seasonality: Many businesses experience seasonal fluctuations in their operations. For example, retailers often generate higher sales during holiday seasons, while tourism companies may observe peak seasons during specific months. Such seasonality can cause significant changes in financial statements when comparing different periods. It is important to consider these seasonal patterns while conducting horizontal analysis.
5. Currency Fluctuations: Companies operating internationally may face currency
exchange rate fluctuations that impact their financial statements. Changes in exchange rates can affect the translation of foreign currency transactions into the reporting currency, leading to variations in revenue, expenses, and overall profitability. These currency-related changes should be considered when conducting horizontal analysis.
6. Accounting Errors or Irregularities: Mistakes in financial reporting, accounting errors, or fraudulent activities can also result in significant changes during horizontal analysis. These errors may include misclassifications, omissions, or intentional manipulations of financial data. It is crucial to identify and rectify such errors to ensure accurate and reliable financial statements.
7. External Events: Unforeseen events such as natural disasters, political instability, or global crises (e.g., COVID-19 pandemic) can have a profound impact on a company's financial performance. These events can disrupt supply chains, reduce consumer demand, increase costs, or lead to asset impairments. Consequently, they can cause significant changes in financial statements when comparing different periods.
It is important to note that while horizontal analysis helps identify significant changes in financial statements, it does not provide insights into the underlying causes. Therefore, further investigation and analysis are necessary to understand the specific reasons behind the observed changes.